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Red39
691412.8
148113.4
22628.6
Blue38
353615.3
509015.3
71749.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92630501503938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
28.63.1
41.138.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End12.0
red by 13.2
5090
#15
15.31.9
21.419.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Second
13.43.1
20.517.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End4.7
blue by 1.9
3536
#18
15.31.9
29.327.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End5.2
Third
12.83.1
20.317.2
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.7
End11.7
red by 3.5
7174
#19
9.31.9
12.210.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed