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Red54
509015.3
5489.7
353840.0
Blue36
48543.6
283218.0
549811.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88390501001505436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.02.0
48.546.5
Auto9.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
red by 21.9
18.00.7
26.025.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
5090
#15
15.32.0
18.316.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
red by 4.0
5498
#13
11.30.7
13.112.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.6
Third
548
#17
9.72.0
9.47.4
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 6.1
4854
#14
3.60.7
3.32.6
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsMissed