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Red18
148113.4
661814.8
360411.3
Blue30
22628.6
43901.3
8159.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5655203040506070801830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#10
14.82.2
21.519.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End7.9
blue by 13.8
226
#3
28.61.5
37.536.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End12.0
Second
13.42.2
16.113.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End4.7
red by 4.0
815
#11
9.31.5
14.412.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
11.32.2
14.011.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.5
red by 10.0
4390
#21
1.31.5
0.8-0.7
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsMissed