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Red99
168439.6
6755.4
496726.3
Blue101
283432.7
436246.6
423722.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610440608012016018020099101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
55.40.6
56.155.4
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
red by 8.8
4362
#10
46.60.0
46.746.7
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
Second
39.60.6
40.339.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
red by 7.0
2834
#21
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Third
4967
#27
26.30.6
26.926.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 4.3
4237
#23
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4