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Red117
546041.2
353850.6
332232.7
Blue115
550529.4
118937.6
150232.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1449650200117115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.4
52.251.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
red by 12.9
37.60.3
36.536.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Second
5460
#15
41.20.4
42.942.5
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
red by 8.3
1502
#32
32.90.3
31.832.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
Third
3322
#18
32.70.4
34.434.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
red by 3.3
5505
#17
29.40.3
28.328.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1