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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84786070901001109580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#12
34.30.9
28.429.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
blue by 12.9
5114
#13
47.30.4
50.851.2
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
Second
201
#26
31.80.9
30.931.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7
red by 16.1
6642
#35
15.60.4
12.212.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Third
6088
#37
18.60.9
18.519.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
red by 7.0
5150
#36
11.70.4
11.311.7
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned