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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691295010015020098114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.7
30.031.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
blue by 10.9
50.60.0
49.849.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
5660
#16
26.01.7
24.526.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 8.7
34.70.0
30.930.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
Third
4779
#39
18.01.7
17.719.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 9.7
245
#24
27.70.0
32.732.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned