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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71820501001502009880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#21
32.72.0
34.236.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
blue by 14.0
4362
#10
46.60.3
43.543.9
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
Second
7244
#31
24.62.0
16.518.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
red by 2.9
2405
#25
21.70.3
20.020.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
Third
5525
#34
13.42.0
17.119.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
red by 6.5
7191
#40
6.90.3
11.612.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned