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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100120608014016018020065125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#15
41.22.1
43.541.4
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
blue by 2.4
43.71.0
39.640.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Second
1502
#32
32.92.1
32.430.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
blue by 8.9
41.81.0
36.137.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
Third
4384
#38
13.92.1
20.418.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
blue by 19.1
33.11.0
34.335.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned