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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911215010015020090124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
55.40.1
53.453.5
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
red by 8.2
5114
#13
47.31.0
51.252.2
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
Second
240
#33
18.30.1
17.918.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
blue by 16.0
2611
#12
34.31.0
29.330.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
Third
5980
#28
17.90.1
17.517.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
blue by 13.5
862
#22
31.41.0
29.130.0
Auto6.6
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned