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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87612040801001201408731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.3
31.531.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 6.1
3655
#11
31.52.2
30.228.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Second
74
#7
31.90.3
24.725.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
red by 7.3
7244
#31
24.62.2
18.516.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Third
4237
#23
22.00.3
22.422.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
red by 10.3
5150
#36
11.72.2
11.79.4
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed