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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6790204060801001201401601805879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
29.40.8
27.626.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1
blue by 11.7
4392
#14
41.10.2
35.535.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.2
End10.6
Second
4779
#39
18.00.8
19.418.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 8.0
5660
#16
26.00.2
26.326.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Third
5525
#34
13.40.8
19.118.3
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
blue by 5.6
3618
#19
19.00.2
19.619.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned