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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8970204060801001201407857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.5
49.849.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
red by 17.9
2834
#21
32.70.7
36.235.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
3452
#29
16.90.5
19.118.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 0.6
6120
#30
17.50.7
13.612.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Third
7191
#40
6.90.5
12.011.5
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 7.0
4384
#38
13.90.7
18.317.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed