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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11776406010014016010199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#10
46.60.3
43.943.6
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
red by 4.8
41.81.5
37.138.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
Second
3322
#18
32.70.3
29.429.2
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
red by 11.0
2405
#25
21.71.5
20.321.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
Third
7211
#20
32.30.3
31.731.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
red by 13.7
6088
#37
18.61.5
19.420.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned