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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9683601201409293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#14
41.10.0
35.335.3
Auto9.4
Teleop21.2
End10.6
red by 3.5
37.60.9
31.832.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Second
201
#26
31.80.0
34.434.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7
blue by 2.5
2611
#12
34.30.9
30.231.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
Third
4779
#39
18.00.0
18.618.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End5.5
red by 4.1
4384
#38
13.90.9
17.518.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned