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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10474204060120140160115118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.4
38.640.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
red by 2.2
39.62.7
32.034.7
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
Second
3322
#18
32.71.4
29.230.6
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
red by 0.8
74
#7
31.92.7
25.027.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Third
4967
#27
26.31.4
26.327.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 1.7
7244
#31
24.62.7
16.319.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned