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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1144501001502009463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.3
40.640.3
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 24.6
3618
#19
19.00.8
19.520.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Second
2834
#21
32.70.3
35.535.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
red by 15.2
6120
#30
17.50.8
12.813.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Third
2405
#25
21.70.3
21.821.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
red by 4.8
3452
#29
16.90.8
18.719.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned