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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975302040608012014016011336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#10
46.61.8
43.645.4
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
red by 24.7
4237
#23
22.01.5
22.721.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
Second
5505
#17
29.41.8
26.828.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1
red by 10.8
6088
#37
18.61.5
20.919.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Third
6642
#35
15.61.8
15.117.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
red by 8.7
7191
#40
6.91.5
11.510.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsMissed