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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7797406012014016087103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#18
32.70.3
28.729.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
blue by 13.9
4362
#10
46.61.0
42.643.5
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
Second
3655
#11
31.50.3
29.229.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End10.4
blue by 8.1
39.61.0
29.130.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
Third
5525
#34
13.40.3
16.817.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
blue by 4.9
240
#33
18.31.0
16.617.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned