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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88101406080120140160180108112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.6
34.536.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
red by 4.2
37.61.0
30.131.0
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Second
7211
#20
32.31.6
28.730.3
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
blue by 0.7
33.11.0
31.732.7
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Third
74
#7
31.91.6
21.122.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
red by 4.2
245
#24
27.71.0
31.732.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned