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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1266205010015020011952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.3
40.040.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
red by 10.4
3655
#11
31.51.0
29.028.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Second
39.60.3
34.735.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
red by 21.0
6088
#37
18.61.0
19.318.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Third
2834
#21
32.70.3
35.235.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
red by 14.8
5980
#28
17.91.0
18.217.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned