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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55107020408012014016063106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#12
34.30.3
31.131.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
blue by 6.9
5460
#15
41.20.6
40.841.3
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Second
240
#33
18.30.3
17.617.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
blue by 14.0
7211
#20
32.30.6
32.633.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
Third
7191
#40
6.90.3
10.010.2
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 12.1
3618
#19
19.00.6
20.320.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned