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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12555010015020010336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
47.30.4
53.152.8
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
red by 25.6
2405
#25
21.71.6
21.519.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
Second
74
#7
31.90.4
28.728.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
red by 15.0
3452
#29
16.91.6
19.517.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Third
5660
#16
26.00.4
26.726.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 12.0
4384
#38
13.91.6
19.617.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsMissed