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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97108050150200250111112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#14
41.11.0
37.638.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.2
End10.6
blue by 5.5
4362
#10
46.60.8
46.547.3
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
Second
37.61.0
33.834.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 2.9
34.70.8
35.836.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
Third
7244
#31
24.61.0
20.921.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
red by 6.7
5980
#28
17.90.8
17.218.1
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned