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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104542040801201401609276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#12
34.30.0
31.431.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
red by 8.0
4967
#27
26.31.0
26.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
Second
1502
#32
32.90.0
32.232.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
red by 15.5
6120
#30
17.51.0
14.715.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Third
3655
#11
31.50.0
28.028.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End10.4
red by 18.1
5525
#34
13.41.0
16.317.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned