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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929170801001101209381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.3
34.835.1
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
blue by 17.5
50.60.3
49.148.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
3322
#18
32.70.3
32.532.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
red by 13.7
3618
#19
19.00.3
20.820.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Third
3452
#29
16.90.3
17.818.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
red by 1.3
6642
#35
15.60.3
15.915.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned