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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11448010015020013450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.8
42.344.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 15.9
245
#24
27.70.5
33.532.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
Second
862
#22
31.41.8
30.332.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.3
End5.6
red by 19.7
5150
#36
11.70.5
10.19.5
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End4.5
Third
5660
#16
26.01.8
26.328.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 19.1
7191
#40
6.90.5
10.29.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned