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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861000501502006595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#10
46.61.2
47.346.2
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
red by 4.8
41.80.2
42.042.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
Second
3452
#29
16.91.2
18.116.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 16.1
1502
#32
32.90.2
32.232.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
Third
5525
#34
13.41.2
17.216.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
blue by 4.5
5980
#28
17.90.2
18.118.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned