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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967840601201401608661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
55.40.4
54.053.7
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
red by 27.7
245
#24
27.71.0
32.932.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
Second
6642
#35
15.60.4
15.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
blue by 8.9
7244
#31
24.61.0
21.921.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Third
4384
#38
13.90.4
17.917.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
blue by 5.1
3618
#19
19.01.0
20.519.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned