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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671210501001502007480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#26
31.80.3
33.033.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7
blue by 9.5
5460
#15
41.21.8
43.141.3
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Second
4967
#27
26.30.3
27.527.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
blue by 6.4
2834
#21
32.71.8
35.533.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Third
5150
#36
11.70.3
9.59.8
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End4.5
blue by 17.7
5505
#17
29.41.8
28.226.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsMissed