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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6786501001504180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.6
34.733.1
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 4.9
3322
#18
32.70.1
32.832.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
Second
4779
#39
18.01.6
21.319.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End5.5
blue by 8.0
5660
#16
26.00.1
28.128.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Third
7191
#40
6.91.6
9.78.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 11.4
240
#33
18.30.1
17.917.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned