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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12858010015020015449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.62.6
50.152.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
red by 21.2
5505
#17
29.41.2
26.425.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1
Second
2611
#12
34.32.6
33.436.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
red by 15.7
6088
#37
18.61.2
19.718.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Third
74
#7
31.92.6
27.730.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
red by 18.0
4384
#38
13.91.2
17.616.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsMissed