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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013205015020025093134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#15
41.21.1
41.340.2
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
blue by 14.2
67
#2
55.40.6
53.754.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
Second
33.11.1
36.435.2
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
red by 0.4
2834
#21
32.70.6
33.834.4
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Third
5660
#16
26.01.1
28.227.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 5.4
862
#22
31.40.6
33.534.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned