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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001205015020064116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.82.5
42.039.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
blue by 13.6
67
#2
55.40.4
54.354.7
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
Second
34.72.5
37.935.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
red by 0.4
2611
#12
34.30.4
36.036.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
Third
3452
#29
16.92.5
16.914.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
blue by 5.1
4237
#23
22.00.4
20.020.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned