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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112752040601001201401609188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
47.30.9
52.251.3
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
red by 14.6
2834
#21
32.70.8
34.435.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
37.60.9
33.732.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
red by 5.3
7211
#20
32.30.8
33.534.3
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
Third
5525
#34
13.40.9
14.313.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
red by 6.5
7191
#40
6.90.8
7.48.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned