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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5111901001504191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#37
18.61.3
19.518.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
blue by 28.0
4362
#10
46.61.1
47.246.1
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
Second
240
#33
18.31.3
19.117.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
blue by 8.0
4967
#27
26.31.1
28.427.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
Third
6120
#30
17.51.3
17.616.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.2
blue by 8.5
5660
#16
26.01.1
27.326.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed96%Hangar oddsMissed