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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212280100140160180200220129150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.7
52.752.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
blue by 4.9
67
#2
55.42.1
54.756.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
Second
5114
#13
47.30.7
51.350.6
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
red by 14.3
1502
#32
32.92.1
30.732.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
Third
2834
#21
32.70.7
35.234.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Level
3322
#18
32.72.1
32.935.1
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned