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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811105010015050116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.3
45.143.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 1.8
41.81.2
39.540.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
Second
4384
#38
13.91.3
16.315.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
blue by 27.2
4392
#14
41.11.2
38.539.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.2
End10.6
Third
7191
#40
6.91.3
8.36.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 15.1
4237
#23
22.01.2
20.321.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned