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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87612040801001201407570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.2
39.239.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
red by 2.0
37.60.1
32.832.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Second
2405
#25
21.70.2
20.019.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
red by 3.4
240
#33
18.30.1
17.817.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
Third
3618
#19
19.00.2
18.918.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
red by 7.4
5150
#36
11.70.1
9.69.7
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsMissed