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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74107020406012014016074105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#24
27.70.0
29.029.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
blue by 5.3
33.10.3
33.633.9
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
5660
#16
26.00.0
26.226.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
blue by 5.8
201
#26
31.80.3
31.531.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7
Third
6088
#37
18.60.0
18.218.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
blue by 12.8
3655
#11
31.50.3
31.331.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned