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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118111801001401609794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
47.31.1
50.649.5
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
blue by 3.3
50.60.7
52.051.3
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
7211
#20
32.31.1
34.333.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
blue by 0.6
1502
#32
32.90.7
32.832.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
Third
7244
#31
24.61.1
24.723.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
red by 6.6
4779
#39
18.00.7
20.119.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned