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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713105010015020071110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#32
32.90.3
32.131.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
blue by 22.5
67
#2
55.40.3
56.856.5
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
Second
201
#26
31.80.3
31.831.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7
red by 0.3
3655
#11
31.50.3
31.631.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Third
7191
#40
6.90.3
6.96.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 19.1
5660
#16
26.00.3
26.326.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned