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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6213305010015020073134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#22
31.40.4
30.831.2
Auto6.6
Teleop19.3
End5.6
blue by 19.2
50.61.0
51.352.2
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
3618
#19
19.00.4
18.719.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
blue by 22.8
41.81.0
40.741.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
Third
240
#33
18.30.4
17.918.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.7
blue by 6.3
7244
#31
24.61.0
23.624.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsEarned