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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105874060801201401608578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#15
41.21.3
44.242.9
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
red by 8.6
2834
#21
32.70.7
33.232.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
245
#24
27.71.3
29.027.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
blue by 4.2
74
#7
31.90.7
32.331.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Third
4237
#23
22.01.3
23.121.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
red by 4.1
5980
#28
17.90.7
18.617.9
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned