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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137320406010014016010753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#10
46.60.4
46.146.5
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
red by 12.3
2611
#12
34.31.4
35.934.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
Second
43.70.4
43.543.9
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 25.7
4779
#39
18.01.4
19.418.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Third
5150
#36
11.70.4
11.311.7
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End4.5
blue by 5.2
3452
#29
16.91.4
18.316.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed