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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618802040801001201406489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#14
41.10.2
40.740.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.2
End10.6
red by 8.1
33.10.4
33.934.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
5525
#34
13.40.2
13.213.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End9.9
blue by 12.9
4967
#27
26.30.4
27.327.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
Third
7191
#40
6.90.2
6.76.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.9
End4.0
blue by 11.7
6088
#37
18.60.4
18.318.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned