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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117940601001201401608588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
47.31.0
49.548.5
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
red by 14.6
3322
#18
32.70.7
33.734.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
Second
34.71.0
35.934.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
red by 5.3
5505
#17
29.40.7
27.628.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1
Third
4384
#38
13.91.0
15.013.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.4
blue by 3.5
6120
#30
17.50.7
16.817.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned