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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12387406080100140160180116120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
55.40.3
56.556.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
red by 15.8
39.62.2
38.741.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.4
End9.2
Second
7211
#20
32.30.3
33.233.5
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
blue by 5.3
37.62.2
34.336.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
2405
#25
21.70.3
21.421.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
red by 6.1
6642
#35
15.62.2
13.415.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned