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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681275010015020092142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#20
32.31.4
30.331.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End10.5
blue by 23.1
67
#2
55.42.0
51.453.4
Auto14.2
Teleop27.6
End13.7
Second
4967
#27
26.31.4
24.626.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End6.4
blue by 17.4
43.72.0
37.639.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Third
5980
#28
17.91.4
16.117.5
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
blue by 14.0
74
#7
31.92.0
22.724.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned