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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77115406010014016067114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#32
32.90.7
33.132.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End10.1
blue by 8.3
5460
#15
41.20.5
43.143.5
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Second
862
#22
31.40.7
29.729.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.3
End5.6
blue by 6.2
37.60.5
31.031.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End7.0
Third
6120
#30
17.50.7
14.213.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End4.2
blue by 15.2
3322
#18
32.70.5
29.029.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned